Brentford (3-5-1) at Brighton & Hove Albion (6-1-2): prediction and pick

Brighton & Hove Albion are slight favorites in what looks like a close game at 49% to win (BHA -110). Our predicted score is Brentford 1.1, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.4 (average goals), against a betting total of 2.5. Brentford come in cold, 1-4 in their last 5. With a game this close, the moneyline on the underdog (Brentford) is often where the value is, if anywhere.

Fair odds: Brentford +289, Brighton & Hove Albion +103. Built from the betting line with the sportsbook's cut removed.

Predicted score: Brentford 1.1, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.4 (average goals)

Spread: BHA -110

Total: 2.5

Moneyline: Brentford +265, Brighton & Hove Albion -110

DraftKings line. Shop around, prices differ by book.

• Brighton & Hove Albion: 2-3 in the last 5 (W L L D W, most recent first)
• Brentford: 1-4 in the last 5 (W L D L D, most recent first)

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