New England Revolution (18-4-11) at Orlando City SC (12-7-14): prediction and pick

Orlando City SC are slight favorites in what looks like a close game at 50% to win (ORL -120). Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1.5, Orlando City SC 2.0 (average goals), against a betting total of 3.5. Orlando City SC come in cold, 1-4 in their last 5. New England Revolution come in hot, 4-1 in their last 5. With a game this close, the moneyline on the underdog (New England Revolution) is often where the value is, if anywhere.

Fair odds: New England Revolution +257, Orlando City SC +101. Built from the betting line with the sportsbook's cut removed.

Predicted score: New England Revolution 1.5, Orlando City SC 2.0 (average goals)

Spread: ORL -120

Total: 3.5

Moneyline: New England Revolution +225, Orlando City SC -120

DraftKings line. Shop around, prices differ by book.

• Orlando City SC: 1-4 in the last 5 (L D D W D, most recent first)
• New England Revolution: 4-1 in the last 5 (L W W W W, most recent first)

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