Miami Heat (2-4) at Golden State Warriors (4-3): prediction and pick

Golden State Warriors are slight favorites in what looks like a close game at 52% to win. Golden State Warriors come in hot, 4-1 in their last 5. Golden State Warriors have 4 players listed out or doubtful. Check the final injury report before betting. With a game this close, the moneyline on the underdog (Miami Heat) is often where the value is, if anywhere.

Fair odds: Miami Heat +108, Golden State Warriors -108. Built from ESPN's matchup model.

• Golden State Warriors: 4-1 in the last 5 (W W W W L, most recent first)
• Miami Heat: 2-3 in the last 5 (W W L L L, most recent first)

Golden State Warriors: Gui Santos (Day-To-Day), Draymond Green (Out), Stephen Curry (Out), Kristaps Porzingis (Out), Moses Moody (Out)

Miami Heat: Tim Hardaway Jr. (Day-To-Day)

Check again close to game time.

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