Napoli (1-0-2) at FC Porto (0-0-3): prediction and pick

FC Porto are slight favorites in what looks like a close game at 47% to win (FCP +105). Our predicted score is Napoli 1.1, FC Porto 1.4 (average goals), against a betting total of 2.5. With a game this close, the moneyline on the underdog (Napoli) is often where the value is, if anywhere.

Fair odds: Napoli +264, FC Porto +113. Built from the betting line with the sportsbook's cut removed.

Predicted score: Napoli 1.1, FC Porto 1.4 (average goals)

Spread: FCP +105

Total: 2.5

Moneyline: Napoli +250, FC Porto +105

DraftKings line. Shop around, prices differ by book.

• FC Porto: 3-2 in the last 5 (W W L L W, most recent first)
• Napoli: 2-3 in the last 5 (L W D W L, most recent first)

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